Bellevue Group (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.1
| BBN Stock | CHF 12.10 0.30 2.42% |
Bellevue |
Bellevue Group Target Price Odds to finish over 12.1
The tendency of Bellevue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.10 | 90 days | 12.10 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bellevue Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bellevue Group AG probability density function shows the probability of Bellevue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bellevue Group AG has a beta of -0.065 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bellevue Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bellevue Group AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bellevue Group AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bellevue Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bellevue Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bellevue Group AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bellevue Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bellevue Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bellevue Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bellevue Group AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bellevue Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
Bellevue Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bellevue Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bellevue Group AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bellevue Group AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bellevue Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bellevue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bellevue Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bellevue Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 129.6 M |
Bellevue Group Technical Analysis
Bellevue Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bellevue Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bellevue Group AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bellevue Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bellevue Group Predictive Forecast Models
Bellevue Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bellevue Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bellevue Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bellevue Group AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bellevue Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bellevue Group AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bellevue Group AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Bellevue Stock Analysis
When running Bellevue Group's price analysis, check to measure Bellevue Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bellevue Group is operating at the current time. Most of Bellevue Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bellevue Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bellevue Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bellevue Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.