Blackbird Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0711

BBRDF Stock  USD 0.10  0.01  9.09%   
Blackbird Plc's future price is the expected price of Blackbird Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackbird plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackbird Plc Backtesting, Blackbird Plc Valuation, Blackbird Plc Correlation, Blackbird Plc Hype Analysis, Blackbird Plc Volatility, Blackbird Plc History as well as Blackbird Plc Performance.
  
Please specify Blackbird Plc's target price for which you would like Blackbird Plc odds to be computed.

Blackbird Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0711

The tendency of Blackbird Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.07  or more in 90 days
 0.10 90 days 0.07 
about 26.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackbird Plc to drop to $ 0.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.26 (This Blackbird plc probability density function shows the probability of Blackbird Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackbird plc price to stay between $ 0.07  and its current price of $0.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackbird plc has a beta of -0.43 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blackbird Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blackbird plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blackbird plc has an alpha of 0.9543, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blackbird Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackbird Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackbird plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackbird Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.107.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.087.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.117.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.10.10.1
Details

Blackbird Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackbird Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackbird Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackbird plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackbird Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.95
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Blackbird Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackbird Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackbird plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackbird plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Blackbird plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Blackbird plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Blackbird plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 2.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.91 M.
Blackbird plc has accumulated about 11.59 M in cash with (887.63 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Blackbird Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackbird Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackbird Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackbird Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding367.6 M

Blackbird Plc Technical Analysis

Blackbird Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackbird Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackbird plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackbird Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackbird Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Blackbird Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackbird Plc's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackbird Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackbird plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackbird Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackbird plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackbird plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Blackbird plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Blackbird plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Blackbird plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 2.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.91 M.
Blackbird plc has accumulated about 11.59 M in cash with (887.63 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Blackbird Pink Sheet

Blackbird Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackbird Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackbird with respect to the benefits of owning Blackbird Plc security.