PT Bank (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4,211

BBSI Stock  IDR 4,200  20.00  0.47%   
PT Bank's future price is the expected price of PT Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PT Bank Bisnis performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PT Bank Backtesting, PT Bank Valuation, PT Bank Correlation, PT Bank Hype Analysis, PT Bank Volatility, PT Bank History as well as PT Bank Performance.
  
Please specify PT Bank's target price for which you would like PT Bank odds to be computed.

PT Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 4,211

The tendency of BBSI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,200 90 days 4,200 
about 67.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Bank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.57 (This PT Bank Bisnis probability density function shows the probability of BBSI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Bank has a beta of 0.0874 suggesting as returns on the market go up, PT Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Bank Bisnis will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PT Bank Bisnis has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PT Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PT Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Bank Bisnis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,1994,2004,201
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0144,0154,620
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,1824,1844,185
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0434,2014,359
Details

PT Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Bank Bisnis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
64.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

PT Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Bank Bisnis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Bank Bisnis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PT Bank Bisnis has accumulated about 161.93 B in cash with (999.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 53.5.
Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

PT Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BBSI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

PT Bank Technical Analysis

PT Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBSI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Bank Bisnis. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBSI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PT Bank Predictive Forecast Models

PT Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PT Bank Bisnis

Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Bank Bisnis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Bank Bisnis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PT Bank Bisnis has accumulated about 161.93 B in cash with (999.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 53.5.
Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in BBSI Stock

PT Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether BBSI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BBSI with respect to the benefits of owning PT Bank security.