Bumi Benowo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 169.05
| BBSS Stock | IDR 187.00 9.00 4.59% |
Bumi |
Bumi Benowo Target Price Odds to finish over 169.05
The tendency of Bumi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 169.05 in 90 days |
| 187.00 | 90 days | 169.05 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bumi Benowo to stay above 169.05 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Bumi Benowo Sukses probability density function shows the probability of Bumi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bumi Benowo Sukses price to stay between 169.05 and its current price of 187.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bumi Benowo has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bumi Benowo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bumi Benowo Sukses will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bumi Benowo Sukses has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bumi Benowo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bumi Benowo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bumi Benowo Sukses. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bumi Benowo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bumi Benowo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bumi Benowo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bumi Benowo Sukses, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bumi Benowo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Bumi Benowo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bumi Benowo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bumi Benowo Sukses can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bumi Benowo Sukses generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bumi Benowo Sukses has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.09 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.47 B. | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bumi Benowo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bumi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bumi Benowo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bumi Benowo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 B |
Bumi Benowo Technical Analysis
Bumi Benowo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bumi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bumi Benowo Sukses. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bumi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bumi Benowo Predictive Forecast Models
Bumi Benowo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bumi Benowo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bumi Benowo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bumi Benowo Sukses
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bumi Benowo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bumi Benowo Sukses help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bumi Benowo Sukses generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bumi Benowo Sukses has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.09 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.47 B. | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bumi Stock
Bumi Benowo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bumi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bumi with respect to the benefits of owning Bumi Benowo security.