Brookfield Business Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.13
| BBU-UN Stock | CAD 34.45 0.09 0.26% |
Brookfield |
Brookfield Business Target Price Odds to finish below 31.13
The tendency of Brookfield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 31.13 or more in 90 days |
| 34.45 | 90 days | 31.13 | about 53.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brookfield Business to drop to C$ 31.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 53.44 (This Brookfield Business Partners probability density function shows the probability of Brookfield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brookfield Business price to stay between C$ 31.13 and its current price of C$34.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Brookfield Business has a beta of 0.57 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brookfield Business average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brookfield Business Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brookfield Business Partners has an alpha of 0.3292, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brookfield Business Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Brookfield Business
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookfield Business. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookfield Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brookfield Business Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brookfield Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brookfield Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brookfield Business Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brookfield Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Brookfield Business Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brookfield Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brookfield Business can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brookfield Business has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Brookfield Business Partners L.P. Shares Acquired by PCJ Investment Counsel Ltd. - MarketBeat |
Brookfield Business Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brookfield Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brookfield Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookfield Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 B |
Brookfield Business Technical Analysis
Brookfield Business' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brookfield Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brookfield Business Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brookfield Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brookfield Business Predictive Forecast Models
Brookfield Business' time-series forecasting models is one of many Brookfield Business' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brookfield Business' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brookfield Business
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brookfield Business for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brookfield Business help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brookfield Business has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Brookfield Business Partners L.P. Shares Acquired by PCJ Investment Counsel Ltd. - MarketBeat |
Check out Brookfield Business Backtesting, Brookfield Business Valuation, Brookfield Business Correlation, Brookfield Business Hype Analysis, Brookfield Business Volatility, Brookfield Business History as well as Brookfield Business Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.