Banco Bilbao Viscaya Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.54
| BBVA Stock | USD 9.45 0.20 2.16% |
Closest to current price Banco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Banco |
Banco Bilbao Target Price Odds to finish over 9.54
The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.54 or more in 90 days |
| 9.45 | 90 days | 9.54 | about 89.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Bilbao to move over $ 9.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.04 (This Banco Bilbao Viscaya probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Bilbao Viscaya price to stay between its current price of $ 9.45 and $ 9.54 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Banco Bilbao Viscaya has a beta of -0.0407 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Banco Bilbao are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Banco Bilbao Viscaya is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Banco Bilbao Viscaya has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Banco Bilbao Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Banco Bilbao
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Bilbao Viscaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Bilbao's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Banco Bilbao Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Bilbao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Bilbao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Bilbao Viscaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Bilbao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Banco Bilbao Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Bilbao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Bilbao Viscaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Banco Bilbao Viscaya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Banco Bilbao Viscaya has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Banco Bilbao Viscaya currently holds about 137.79 B in cash with (721 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Banco Bilbao Viscaya has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 25th of October 2024 Banco Bilbao paid $ 0.3244 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Is Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria the Most Profitable European Stock |
Banco Bilbao Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Bilbao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Bilbao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 145.6 B |
Banco Bilbao Technical Analysis
Banco Bilbao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Bilbao Viscaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Banco Bilbao Predictive Forecast Models
Banco Bilbao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Bilbao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Bilbao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Banco Bilbao Viscaya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Bilbao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Bilbao Viscaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Banco Bilbao Viscaya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Banco Bilbao Viscaya has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Banco Bilbao Viscaya currently holds about 137.79 B in cash with (721 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Banco Bilbao Viscaya has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 25th of October 2024 Banco Bilbao paid $ 0.3244 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Is Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria the Most Profitable European Stock |
Check out Banco Bilbao Backtesting, Banco Bilbao Valuation, Banco Bilbao Correlation, Banco Bilbao Hype Analysis, Banco Bilbao Volatility, Banco Bilbao History as well as Banco Bilbao Performance. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Bilbao. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco Bilbao listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.293 | Dividend Share 0.68 | Earnings Share 1.69 | Revenue Per Share 5.146 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Banco Bilbao Viscaya is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Bilbao's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Bilbao's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco Bilbao's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Bilbao's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Bilbao's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Bilbao is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Bilbao's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.