Accion IBEX (Spain) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 10.89

BBVAI Etf  EUR 11.74  0.07  0.60%   
Accion IBEX's future price is the expected price of Accion IBEX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Accion IBEX 35 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Accion IBEX Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Accion IBEX Correlation, Accion IBEX Hype Analysis, Accion IBEX Volatility, Accion IBEX History as well as Accion IBEX Performance.
  
Please specify Accion IBEX's target price for which you would like Accion IBEX odds to be computed.

Accion IBEX Target Price Odds to finish below 10.89

The tendency of Accion Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 10.89  or more in 90 days
 11.74 90 days 10.89 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accion IBEX to drop to € 10.89  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Accion IBEX 35 probability density function shows the probability of Accion Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Accion IBEX 35 price to stay between € 10.89  and its current price of €11.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Accion IBEX has a beta of 0.0961 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Accion IBEX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Accion IBEX 35 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Accion IBEX 35 has an alpha of 0.0307, implying that it can generate a 0.0307 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Accion IBEX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Accion IBEX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accion IBEX 35. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9511.7412.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9211.7112.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1211.9112.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6411.7211.80
Details

Accion IBEX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accion IBEX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accion IBEX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accion IBEX 35, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accion IBEX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Accion IBEX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accion IBEX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accion IBEX 35 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Accion IBEX 35 holds 95.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Accion IBEX Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Accion Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Accion IBEX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accion IBEX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Accion IBEX Technical Analysis

Accion IBEX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accion Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accion IBEX 35. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accion Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Accion IBEX Predictive Forecast Models

Accion IBEX's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accion IBEX's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accion IBEX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Accion IBEX 35

Checking the ongoing alerts about Accion IBEX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Accion IBEX 35 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Accion IBEX 35 holds 95.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Accion Etf

Accion IBEX financial ratios help investors to determine whether Accion Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Accion with respect to the benefits of owning Accion IBEX security.