Bank Yudha (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 256.22
| BBYB Stock | IDR 268.00 6.00 2.29% |
Bank |
Bank Yudha Target Price Odds to finish over 256.22
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 256.22 in 90 days |
| 268.00 | 90 days | 256.22 | about 78.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Yudha to stay above 256.22 in 90 days from now is about 78.37 (This Bank Yudha Bhakti probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Yudha Bhakti price to stay between 256.22 and its current price of 268.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Yudha Bhakti has a beta of -0.5 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bank Yudha are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bank Yudha Bhakti is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bank Yudha Bhakti has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bank Yudha Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Yudha
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Yudha Bhakti. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Yudha Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Yudha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Yudha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Yudha Bhakti, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Yudha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Bank Yudha Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Yudha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Yudha Bhakti can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank Yudha Bhakti had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 440.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (986.29 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 247.7 B. | |
| Bank Yudha Bhakti has accumulated about 415.62 B in cash with (3.54 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 72.01. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bank Yudha Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Yudha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Yudha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 B |
Bank Yudha Technical Analysis
Bank Yudha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Yudha Bhakti. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Yudha Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Yudha's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Yudha's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Yudha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank Yudha Bhakti
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Yudha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Yudha Bhakti help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank Yudha Bhakti had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 440.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (986.29 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 247.7 B. | |
| Bank Yudha Bhakti has accumulated about 415.62 B in cash with (3.54 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 72.01. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Yudha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Yudha security.