Abra Information (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 299.43

BBYL Stock  ILS 270.10  2.00  0.74%   
Abra Information's future price is the expected price of Abra Information instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Abra Information Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Abra Information Backtesting, Abra Information Valuation, Abra Information Correlation, Abra Information Hype Analysis, Abra Information Volatility, Abra Information History as well as Abra Information Performance.
  
Please specify Abra Information's target price for which you would like Abra Information odds to be computed.

Abra Information Target Price Odds to finish below 299.43

The tendency of Abra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under S 299.43  after 90 days
 270.10 90 days 299.43 
about 88.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abra Information to stay under S 299.43  after 90 days from now is about 88.76 (This Abra Information Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Abra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Abra Information Tec price to stay between its current price of S 270.10  and S 299.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Abra Information Technologies has a beta of -0.37 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Abra Information are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Abra Information Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Abra Information Technologies has an alpha of 0.0455, implying that it can generate a 0.0455 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Abra Information Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Abra Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abra Information Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
267.91270.10272.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
229.50231.69297.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
243.68245.87248.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
268.88270.77272.65
Details

Abra Information Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abra Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abra Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Abra Information Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abra Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
20.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Abra Information Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abra Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Abra Information Tec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 2.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 M.
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Abra Information Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Abra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Abra Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abra Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.2 M

Abra Information Technical Analysis

Abra Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Abra Information Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Abra Information Predictive Forecast Models

Abra Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Abra Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Abra Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Abra Information Tec

Checking the ongoing alerts about Abra Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Abra Information Tec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 2.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 M.
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Abra Stock

Abra Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abra with respect to the benefits of owning Abra Information security.