Black Cat (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.51

BC8 Stock   0.63  0.02  3.28%   
Black Cat's future price is the expected price of Black Cat instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Black Cat Syndicate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Black Cat Backtesting, Black Cat Valuation, Black Cat Correlation, Black Cat Hype Analysis, Black Cat Volatility, Black Cat History as well as Black Cat Performance.
  
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Black Cat Target Price Odds to finish over 4.51

The tendency of Black Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.51  or more in 90 days
 0.63 90 days 4.51 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Black Cat to move over  4.51  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Black Cat Syndicate probability density function shows the probability of Black Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Black Cat Syndicate price to stay between its current price of  0.63  and  4.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Black Cat Syndicate has a beta of -0.35 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Black Cat are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Black Cat Syndicate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Black Cat Syndicate has an alpha of 0.9207, implying that it can generate a 0.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Black Cat Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Black Cat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Black Cat Syndicate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.634.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.474.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.714.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Black Cat Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Black Cat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Black Cat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Black Cat Syndicate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Black Cat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.92
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Black Cat Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Black Cat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Black Cat Syndicate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Black Cat Syndicate has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Black Cat Syndicate appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 4.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 866.95 K.
Black Cat generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Black Cat Syndicate Ltd. Quotes Over 102M Shares on ASX - MSN

Black Cat Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Black Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Black Cat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Black Cat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding301.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14 M

Black Cat Technical Analysis

Black Cat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Black Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Black Cat Syndicate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Black Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Black Cat Predictive Forecast Models

Black Cat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Black Cat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Black Cat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Black Cat Syndicate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Black Cat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Black Cat Syndicate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Black Cat Syndicate has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Black Cat Syndicate appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 4.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 866.95 K.
Black Cat generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Black Cat Syndicate Ltd. Quotes Over 102M Shares on ASX - MSN

Additional Tools for Black Stock Analysis

When running Black Cat's price analysis, check to measure Black Cat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Black Cat is operating at the current time. Most of Black Cat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Black Cat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Black Cat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Black Cat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.