Blackrock Capital Allocation Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.55

BCAT Stock  USD 16.18  0.03  0.19%   
BlackRock Capital's future price is the expected price of BlackRock Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BlackRock Capital Allocation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BlackRock Capital Backtesting, BlackRock Capital Valuation, BlackRock Capital Correlation, BlackRock Capital Hype Analysis, BlackRock Capital Volatility, BlackRock Capital History as well as BlackRock Capital Performance.
  
At this time, BlackRock Capital's Price Fair Value is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify BlackRock Capital's target price for which you would like BlackRock Capital odds to be computed.

BlackRock Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 13.55

The tendency of BlackRock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.55  or more in 90 days
 16.18 90 days 13.55 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BlackRock Capital to drop to $ 13.55  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BlackRock Capital Allocation probability density function shows the probability of BlackRock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BlackRock Capital price to stay between $ 13.55  and its current price of $16.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BlackRock Capital has a beta of 0.43 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BlackRock Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BlackRock Capital Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BlackRock Capital Allocation has an alpha of 0.0056, implying that it can generate a 0.005629 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BlackRock Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BlackRock Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6116.1816.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4416.0116.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.5916.1616.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.4915.9316.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BlackRock Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BlackRock Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BlackRock Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BlackRock Capital.

BlackRock Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BlackRock Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BlackRock Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BlackRock Capital Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BlackRock Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

BlackRock Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BlackRock Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BlackRock Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 31st of October 2024 BlackRock Capital paid $ 0.2871 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Saba Capital Management, L.P. Increases Stake in BlackRock Innovation Growth Trust

BlackRock Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BlackRock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BlackRock Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackRock Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.9 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.53

BlackRock Capital Technical Analysis

BlackRock Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BlackRock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BlackRock Capital Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing BlackRock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BlackRock Capital Predictive Forecast Models

BlackRock Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many BlackRock Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BlackRock Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BlackRock Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about BlackRock Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BlackRock Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 31st of October 2024 BlackRock Capital paid $ 0.2871 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Saba Capital Management, L.P. Increases Stake in BlackRock Innovation Growth Trust

Additional Tools for BlackRock Stock Analysis

When running BlackRock Capital's price analysis, check to measure BlackRock Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BlackRock Capital is operating at the current time. Most of BlackRock Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BlackRock Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BlackRock Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BlackRock Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.