Babcock International Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 14.61
| BCKIY Stock | USD 6.29 0.36 5.41% |
Babcock |
Babcock International Target Price Odds to finish over 14.61
The tendency of Babcock Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 14.61 or more in 90 days |
| 6.29 | 90 days | 14.61 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Babcock International to move over $ 14.61 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Babcock International Group probability density function shows the probability of Babcock Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Babcock International price to stay between its current price of $ 6.29 and $ 14.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Babcock International Group has a beta of -1.69 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Babcock International Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Babcock International is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Babcock International Group has an alpha of 0.2817, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Babcock International Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Babcock International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Babcock International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Babcock International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Babcock International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Babcock International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Babcock International Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Babcock International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0066 |
Babcock International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Babcock International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Babcock International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Babcock International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Babcock International Group has accumulated 847.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.06, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Babcock International has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Babcock International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Babcock International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Babcock International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Babcock to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Babcock International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Babcock International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Babcock Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Babcock International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Babcock International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 505.6 M |
Babcock International Technical Analysis
Babcock International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Babcock Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Babcock International Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Babcock Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Babcock International Predictive Forecast Models
Babcock International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Babcock International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Babcock International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Babcock International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Babcock International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Babcock International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Babcock International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Babcock International Group has accumulated 847.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.06, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Babcock International has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Babcock International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Babcock International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Babcock International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Babcock to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Babcock International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Babcock Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Babcock International's price analysis, check to measure Babcock International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Babcock International is operating at the current time. Most of Babcock International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Babcock International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Babcock International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Babcock International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.