The Brown Capital Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.67
| BCMSXDelisted Fund | USD 12.62 0.00 0.00% |
The |
The Brown Target Price Odds to finish below 11.67
The tendency of The Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.67 or more in 90 days |
| 12.62 | 90 days | 11.67 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of The Brown to drop to $ 11.67 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Brown Capital probability density function shows the probability of The Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brown Capital price to stay between $ 11.67 and its current price of $12.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Brown Capital has a beta of -0.0976 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding The Brown are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Brown Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Brown Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. The Brown Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for The Brown
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brown Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Brown's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
The Brown Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. The Brown is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the The Brown's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Brown Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of The Brown within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
The Brown Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of The Brown for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brown Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brown Capital is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Brown Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brown Capital has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund generated three year return of -9.0% | |
| Brown Capital holds 98.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
The Brown Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of The Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential The Brown's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. The Brown's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
The Brown Technical Analysis
The Brown's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. The Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Brown Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing The Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
The Brown Predictive Forecast Models
The Brown's time-series forecasting models is one of many The Brown's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary The Brown's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brown Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about The Brown for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brown Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brown Capital is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Brown Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brown Capital has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund generated three year return of -9.0% | |
| Brown Capital holds 98.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Other Consideration for investing in The Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Brown Capital check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the The Brown's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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