Blucora Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.55

BCORDelisted Stock  USD 27.19  0.04  0.15%   
Blucora's future price is the expected price of Blucora instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blucora performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
  
Please specify Blucora's target price for which you would like Blucora odds to be computed.

Blucora Target Price Odds to finish over 28.55

The tendency of Blucora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 28.55  or more in 90 days
 27.19 90 days 28.55 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blucora to move over $ 28.55  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Blucora probability density function shows the probability of Blucora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blucora price to stay between its current price of $ 27.19  and $ 28.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blucora has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blucora average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blucora will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blucora has an alpha of 0.2578, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blucora Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blucora

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blucora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.1927.1927.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.1622.1629.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.5026.5026.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.4325.4028.37
Details

Blucora Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blucora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blucora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blucora, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blucora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Blucora Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blucora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blucora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blucora is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Blucora has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Blucora Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blucora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blucora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blucora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments134.8 M

Blucora Technical Analysis

Blucora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blucora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blucora. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blucora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blucora Predictive Forecast Models

Blucora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blucora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blucora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blucora

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blucora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blucora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blucora is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Blucora has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Blucora Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Blucora check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Blucora's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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