Bangchak Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.58
| BCP Stock | THB 30.75 1.25 4.24% |
Bangchak |
Bangchak Public Target Price Odds to finish below 27.58
The tendency of Bangchak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 27.58 or more in 90 days |
| 30.75 | 90 days | 27.58 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bangchak Public to drop to 27.58 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bangchak Public probability density function shows the probability of Bangchak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bangchak Public price to stay between 27.58 and its current price of 30.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bangchak Public has a beta of -0.34 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bangchak Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bangchak Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bangchak Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bangchak Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bangchak Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bangchak Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bangchak Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bangchak Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bangchak Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bangchak Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bangchak Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Bangchak Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bangchak Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bangchak Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bangchak Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bangchak Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bangchak Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bangchak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bangchak Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bangchak Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Bangchak Public Technical Analysis
Bangchak Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bangchak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bangchak Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bangchak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bangchak Public Predictive Forecast Models
Bangchak Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bangchak Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bangchak Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bangchak Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bangchak Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bangchak Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bangchak Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bangchak Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bangchak Stock
Bangchak Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bangchak Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bangchak with respect to the benefits of owning Bangchak Public security.