Erika Carmel (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.68
| BCUR Stock | 26.20 0.10 0.38% |
Erika |
Erika Carmel Target Price Odds to finish below 22.68
The tendency of Erika Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 22.68 or more in 90 days |
| 26.20 | 90 days | 22.68 | roughly 2.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Erika Carmel to drop to 22.68 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.77 (This Erika Carmel probability density function shows the probability of Erika Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Erika Carmel price to stay between 22.68 and its current price of 26.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Erika Carmel has a beta of 0.0852 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Erika Carmel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Erika Carmel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Erika Carmel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Erika Carmel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Erika Carmel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Erika Carmel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Erika Carmel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Erika Carmel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Erika Carmel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Erika Carmel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Erika Carmel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Erika Carmel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Erika Carmel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Erika Carmel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Erika Carmel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Erika Carmel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Erika Carmel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Erika Carmel Technical Analysis
Erika Carmel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Erika Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Erika Carmel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Erika Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Erika Carmel Predictive Forecast Models
Erika Carmel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Erika Carmel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Erika Carmel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Erika Carmel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Erika Carmel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Erika Carmel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Erika Carmel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Erika Carmel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Erika Carmel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Erika Stock
Erika Carmel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Erika Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Erika with respect to the benefits of owning Erika Carmel security.