Blue Dolphin Energy Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 6.06

BDCODelisted Stock  USD 6.06  0.33  5.16%   
Blue Dolphin's future price is the expected price of Blue Dolphin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blue Dolphin Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  
Please specify Blue Dolphin's target price for which you would like Blue Dolphin odds to be computed.

Blue Dolphin Target Price Odds to finish over 6.06

The tendency of Blue OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.06 90 days 6.06 
about 5.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Dolphin to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.4 (This Blue Dolphin Energy probability density function shows the probability of Blue OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.54 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Blue Dolphin will likely underperform. Moreover Blue Dolphin Energy has an alpha of 1.3688, implying that it can generate a 1.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blue Dolphin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blue Dolphin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Dolphin Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Dolphin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.066.066.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.404.406.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.405.405.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.706.206.70
Details

Blue Dolphin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Dolphin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Dolphin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Dolphin Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Dolphin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.54
σ
Overall volatility
1.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Blue Dolphin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Dolphin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Dolphin Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Dolphin Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Blue Dolphin Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Blue Dolphin Energy currently holds 838 K in liabilities. Blue Dolphin Energy has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Blue Dolphin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Blue Dolphin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Blue Dolphin Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Blue to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Blue Dolphin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 300.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 914 K.
Blue Dolphin Energy currently holds about 114 K in cash with (6.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Blue Dolphin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Dolphin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Dolphin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.7 M

Blue Dolphin Technical Analysis

Blue Dolphin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blue OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blue Dolphin Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blue OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blue Dolphin Predictive Forecast Models

Blue Dolphin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Dolphin's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blue Dolphin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blue Dolphin Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Dolphin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Dolphin Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Dolphin Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Blue Dolphin Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Blue Dolphin Energy currently holds 838 K in liabilities. Blue Dolphin Energy has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Blue Dolphin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Blue Dolphin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Blue Dolphin Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Blue to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Blue Dolphin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 300.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 914 K.
Blue Dolphin Energy currently holds about 114 K in cash with (6.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Note that the Blue Dolphin Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blue Dolphin's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Other Consideration for investing in Blue OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Blue Dolphin Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Blue Dolphin's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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