Braddock Multi Strategy Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 6.07

BDKCX Fund  USD 6.59  0.02  0.30%   
Braddock Multi-strategy's future price is the expected price of Braddock Multi-strategy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Braddock Multi Strategy Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Braddock Multi-strategy Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Braddock Multi-strategy Correlation, Braddock Multi-strategy Hype Analysis, Braddock Multi-strategy Volatility, Braddock Multi-strategy History as well as Braddock Multi-strategy Performance.
  
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Braddock Multi-strategy Target Price Odds to finish over 6.07

The tendency of Braddock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 6.07  in 90 days
 6.59 90 days 6.07 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Braddock Multi-strategy to stay above $ 6.07  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Braddock Multi Strategy Income probability density function shows the probability of Braddock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Braddock Multi Strategy price to stay between $ 6.07  and its current price of $6.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Braddock Multi-strategy has a beta of 0.0107 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Braddock Multi-strategy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Braddock Multi Strategy Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Braddock Multi Strategy Income has an alpha of 0.0027, implying that it can generate a 0.002735 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Braddock Multi-strategy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Braddock Multi-strategy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Braddock Multi Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Braddock Multi-strategy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.446.596.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.316.466.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.446.606.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.576.596.61
Details

Braddock Multi-strategy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Braddock Multi-strategy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Braddock Multi-strategy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Braddock Multi Strategy Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Braddock Multi-strategy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.74

Braddock Multi-strategy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Braddock Multi-strategy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Braddock Multi Strategy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -5.0%
Braddock Multi Strategy holds about 7.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Braddock Multi-strategy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Braddock Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Braddock Multi-strategy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braddock Multi-strategy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Braddock Multi-strategy Technical Analysis

Braddock Multi-strategy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Braddock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Braddock Multi Strategy Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Braddock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Braddock Multi-strategy Predictive Forecast Models

Braddock Multi-strategy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Braddock Multi-strategy's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Braddock Multi-strategy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Braddock Multi Strategy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Braddock Multi-strategy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Braddock Multi Strategy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -5.0%
Braddock Multi Strategy holds about 7.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Braddock Mutual Fund

Braddock Multi-strategy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Braddock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Braddock with respect to the benefits of owning Braddock Multi-strategy security.
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