Bardella (Brazil) Odds of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 9.0
| BDLL4 Preferred Stock | BRL 8.80 0.20 2.22% |
Bardella |
Bardella Target Price Odds to finish over 9.0
The tendency of Bardella Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 9.00 or more in 90 days |
| 8.80 | 90 days | 9.00 | about 65.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bardella to move over R$ 9.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 65.77 (This Bardella SA Indstrias probability density function shows the probability of Bardella Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bardella SA Indstrias price to stay between its current price of R$ 8.80 and R$ 9.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bardella SA Indstrias has a beta of -0.0033 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bardella are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bardella SA Indstrias is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bardella SA Indstrias has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bardella Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bardella
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bardella SA Indstrias. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bardella Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bardella is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bardella's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bardella SA Indstrias, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bardella within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0033 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Bardella Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bardella for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bardella SA Indstrias can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bardella generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bardella SA Indstrias has accumulated 219.05 M in total debt. Bardella SA Indstrias has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bardella until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bardella's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bardella SA Indstrias sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bardella to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bardella's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 21.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.46 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.24 M). | |
| Bardella SA Indstrias has accumulated about 1.14 M in cash with (963 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bardella Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bardella Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bardella's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bardella's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Bardella Technical Analysis
Bardella's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bardella Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bardella SA Indstrias. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bardella Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bardella Predictive Forecast Models
Bardella's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bardella's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bardella's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bardella SA Indstrias
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bardella for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bardella SA Indstrias help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bardella generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bardella SA Indstrias has accumulated 219.05 M in total debt. Bardella SA Indstrias has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bardella until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bardella's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bardella SA Indstrias sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bardella to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bardella's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 21.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.46 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.24 M). | |
| Bardella SA Indstrias has accumulated about 1.14 M in cash with (963 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Bardella Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Bardella's price analysis, check to measure Bardella's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bardella is operating at the current time. Most of Bardella's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bardella's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bardella's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bardella to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.