Bloom Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.03
| BE Stock | USD 25.76 1.82 7.60% |
Bloom |
Bloom Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 18.03
The tendency of Bloom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.03 or more in 90 days |
| 25.76 | 90 days | 18.03 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bloom Energy to drop to $ 18.03 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Bloom Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Bloom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bloom Energy Corp price to stay between $ 18.03 and its current price of $25.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.87 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Bloom Energy has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bloom Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bloom Energy Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Bloom Energy Corp has an alpha of 1.5007, implying that it can generate a 1.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bloom Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bloom Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bloom Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bloom Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bloom Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bloom Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bloom Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bloom Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bloom Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Bloom Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bloom Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bloom Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bloom Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bloom Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.33 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (307.94 M) with gross profit of 257.59 M. | |
| Bloom Energy Corp reports about 348.5 M in cash with (372.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52. | |
| Bloom Energy Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 400 shares by K Sridhar of Bloom Energy at 25.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Bloom Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bloom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bloom Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bloom Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 664.6 M |
Bloom Energy Technical Analysis
Bloom Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bloom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bloom Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bloom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bloom Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Bloom Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bloom Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bloom Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bloom Energy Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bloom Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bloom Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bloom Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bloom Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.33 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (307.94 M) with gross profit of 257.59 M. | |
| Bloom Energy Corp reports about 348.5 M in cash with (372.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52. | |
| Bloom Energy Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 400 shares by K Sridhar of Bloom Energy at 25.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Bloom Energy Backtesting, Bloom Energy Valuation, Bloom Energy Correlation, Bloom Energy Hype Analysis, Bloom Energy Volatility, Bloom Energy History as well as Bloom Energy Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Heavy Electrical Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bloom Energy. If investors know Bloom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bloom Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.54) | Revenue Per Share 5.562 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (0.27) |
The market value of Bloom Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bloom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bloom Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bloom Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bloom Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bloom Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bloom Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bloom Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bloom Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.