Estika Tata (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 123.04
| BEEF Stock | 117.00 5.00 4.10% |
Estika |
Estika Tata Target Price Odds to finish over 123.04
The tendency of Estika Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 123.04 or more in 90 days |
| 117.00 | 90 days | 123.04 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Estika Tata to move over 123.04 or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Estika Tata Tiara probability density function shows the probability of Estika Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Estika Tata Tiara price to stay between its current price of 117.00 and 123.04 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Estika Tata Tiara has a beta of -0.27 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Estika Tata are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Estika Tata Tiara is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Estika Tata Tiara has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Estika Tata Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Estika Tata
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Estika Tata Tiara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Estika Tata Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Estika Tata is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Estika Tata's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Estika Tata Tiara, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Estika Tata within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Estika Tata Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Estika Tata for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Estika Tata Tiara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Estika Tata Tiara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Estika Tata Tiara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 142.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (181.43 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (34 B). | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Estika Tata Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Estika Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Estika Tata's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Estika Tata's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Estika Tata Technical Analysis
Estika Tata's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Estika Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Estika Tata Tiara. In general, you should focus on analyzing Estika Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Estika Tata Predictive Forecast Models
Estika Tata's time-series forecasting models is one of many Estika Tata's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Estika Tata's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Estika Tata Tiara
Checking the ongoing alerts about Estika Tata for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Estika Tata Tiara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Estika Tata Tiara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Estika Tata Tiara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 142.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (181.43 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (34 B). | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Estika Stock
Estika Tata financial ratios help investors to determine whether Estika Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Estika with respect to the benefits of owning Estika Tata security.