PT Jobubu (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 189.0

BEER Stock   177.00  1.00  0.57%   
PT Jobubu's future price is the expected price of PT Jobubu instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PT Jobubu Jarum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PT Jobubu Backtesting, PT Jobubu Valuation, PT Jobubu Correlation, PT Jobubu Hype Analysis, PT Jobubu Volatility, PT Jobubu History as well as PT Jobubu Performance.
  
Please specify PT Jobubu's target price for which you would like PT Jobubu odds to be computed.

PT Jobubu Target Price Odds to finish over 189.0

The tendency of BEER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  189.00  or more in 90 days
 177.00 90 days 189.00 
about 51.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Jobubu to move over  189.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 51.57 (This PT Jobubu Jarum probability density function shows the probability of BEER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Jobubu Jarum price to stay between its current price of  177.00  and  189.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Jobubu has a beta of 0.0067 suggesting as returns on the market go up, PT Jobubu average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Jobubu Jarum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PT Jobubu Jarum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PT Jobubu Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PT Jobubu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Jobubu Jarum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
175.65177.00178.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
150.90152.25194.70
Details

PT Jobubu Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Jobubu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Jobubu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Jobubu Jarum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Jobubu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
11.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

PT Jobubu Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Jobubu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Jobubu Jarum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Jobubu Jarum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

PT Jobubu Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BEER Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Jobubu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Jobubu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0151
Shares Float640.1 M

PT Jobubu Technical Analysis

PT Jobubu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BEER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Jobubu Jarum. In general, you should focus on analyzing BEER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PT Jobubu Predictive Forecast Models

PT Jobubu's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Jobubu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Jobubu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PT Jobubu Jarum

Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Jobubu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Jobubu Jarum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Jobubu Jarum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BEER Stock

PT Jobubu financial ratios help investors to determine whether BEER Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BEER with respect to the benefits of owning PT Jobubu security.