International Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.61
| BEGBXDelisted Fund | USD 10.61 0.00 0.00% |
International |
International Bond Target Price Odds to finish over 10.61
The tendency of International Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.61 | 90 days | 10.61 | about 41.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Bond to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.52 (This International Bond Fund probability density function shows the probability of International Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon International Bond Fund has a beta of -0.053 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding International Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, International Bond Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally International Bond Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. International Bond Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for International Bond
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.International Bond Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Bond Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
International Bond Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| International Bond is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| International Bond has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| International Bond generated five year return of -3.0% | |
| This fund holds about 9.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
International Bond Technical Analysis
International Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Bond Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
International Bond Predictive Forecast Models
International Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many International Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about International Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about International Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| International Bond is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| International Bond has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| International Bond generated five year return of -3.0% | |
| This fund holds about 9.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Other Consideration for investing in International Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in International Bond check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the International Bond's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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