BE Group (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 50.6

BEGR Stock  SEK 46.55  0.45  0.96%   
BE Group's future price is the expected price of BE Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BE Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BE Group Backtesting, BE Group Valuation, BE Group Correlation, BE Group Hype Analysis, BE Group Volatility, BE Group History as well as BE Group Performance.
  
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BE Group Target Price Odds to finish over 50.6

The tendency of BEGR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 50.60  or more in 90 days
 46.55 90 days 50.60 
about 36.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BE Group to move over kr 50.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.27 (This BE Group AB probability density function shows the probability of BEGR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BE Group AB price to stay between its current price of kr 46.55  and kr 50.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BE Group has a beta of 0.0597 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BE Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BE Group AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BE Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BE Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BE Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BE Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.0546.5548.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.6646.1647.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.3645.8647.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.2249.3552.48
Details

BE Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BE Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BE Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BE Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BE Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

BE Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BE Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BE Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BE Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BE Group AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

BE Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BEGR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BE Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BE Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments54 M

BE Group Technical Analysis

BE Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BEGR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BE Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing BEGR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BE Group Predictive Forecast Models

BE Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many BE Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BE Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BE Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about BE Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BE Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BE Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BE Group AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for BEGR Stock Analysis

When running BE Group's price analysis, check to measure BE Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BE Group is operating at the current time. Most of BE Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BE Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BE Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BE Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.