Farmacias Benavides (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.95
| BEVIDESB | MXN 21.00 1.00 5.00% |
Farmacias |
Farmacias Benavides Target Price Odds to finish over 19.95
The tendency of Farmacias Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 19.95 in 90 days |
| 21.00 | 90 days | 19.95 | about 38.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmacias Benavides to stay above 19.95 in 90 days from now is about 38.31 (This Farmacias Benavides SAB probability density function shows the probability of Farmacias Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Farmacias Benavides SAB price to stay between 19.95 and its current price of 21.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Farmacias Benavides has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Farmacias Benavides average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Farmacias Benavides SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Farmacias Benavides SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Farmacias Benavides Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Farmacias Benavides
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmacias Benavides SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Farmacias Benavides' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Farmacias Benavides Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmacias Benavides is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmacias Benavides' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmacias Benavides SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmacias Benavides within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0043 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Farmacias Benavides Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmacias Benavides for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmacias Benavides SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Farmacias Benavides has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Farmacias Benavides Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmacias Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmacias Benavides' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmacias Benavides' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 408.8 M |
Farmacias Benavides Technical Analysis
Farmacias Benavides' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farmacias Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Farmacias Benavides SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farmacias Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Farmacias Benavides Predictive Forecast Models
Farmacias Benavides' time-series forecasting models is one of many Farmacias Benavides' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Farmacias Benavides' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Farmacias Benavides SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmacias Benavides for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmacias Benavides SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Farmacias Benavides has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Farmacias Stock Analysis
When running Farmacias Benavides' price analysis, check to measure Farmacias Benavides' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmacias Benavides is operating at the current time. Most of Farmacias Benavides' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmacias Benavides' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmacias Benavides' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmacias Benavides to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.