Bread Financial Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.89
| BFH Stock | USD 58.83 0.88 1.52% |
Bread |
Bread Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 45.89
The tendency of Bread Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 45.89 in 90 days |
| 58.83 | 90 days | 45.89 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bread Financial to stay above $ 45.89 in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Bread Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Bread Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bread Financial Holdings price to stay between $ 45.89 and its current price of $58.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.76 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.58 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bread Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Bread Financial Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bread Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bread Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bread Financial Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bread Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bread Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bread Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bread Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bread Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Bread Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bread Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bread Financial Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bread Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Bread Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Pony.ai Surges 19 percent on IPO Debut, Raises 413.4 Million |
Bread Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bread Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bread Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bread Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Bread Financial Technical Analysis
Bread Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bread Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bread Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bread Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bread Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Bread Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bread Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bread Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bread Financial Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bread Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bread Financial Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bread Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Bread Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Pony.ai Surges 19 percent on IPO Debut, Raises 413.4 Million |
Check out Bread Financial Backtesting, Bread Financial Valuation, Bread Financial Correlation, Bread Financial Hype Analysis, Bread Financial Volatility, Bread Financial History as well as Bread Financial Performance. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bread Financial. If investors know Bread will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bread Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 6.34 | Revenue Per Share 49.838 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Bread Financial Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bread that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bread Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bread Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bread Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bread Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bread Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bread Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bread Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.