BBVA Banco (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.74
| BFP Stock | EUR 15.00 0.90 5.66% |
BBVA |
BBVA Banco Target Price Odds to finish below 3.74
The tendency of BBVA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.74 or more in 90 days |
| 15.00 | 90 days | 3.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBVA Banco to drop to € 3.74 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BBVA Banco Frances probability density function shows the probability of BBVA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BBVA Banco Frances price to stay between € 3.74 and its current price of €15.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BBVA Banco has a beta of 0.89 suggesting BBVA Banco Frances market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BBVA Banco is expected to follow. Additionally BBVA Banco Frances has an alpha of 0.898, implying that it can generate a 0.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BBVA Banco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BBVA Banco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBVA Banco Frances. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BBVA Banco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBVA Banco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBVA Banco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBVA Banco Frances, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBVA Banco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
BBVA Banco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBVA Banco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBVA Banco Frances can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BBVA Banco Frances appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BBVA Banco Frances has accumulated about 175.55 B in cash with (153.82 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 859.56, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
BBVA Banco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BBVA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BBVA Banco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BBVA Banco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 612.7 M |
BBVA Banco Technical Analysis
BBVA Banco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBVA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBVA Banco Frances. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBVA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BBVA Banco Predictive Forecast Models
BBVA Banco's time-series forecasting models is one of many BBVA Banco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBVA Banco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BBVA Banco Frances
Checking the ongoing alerts about BBVA Banco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBVA Banco Frances help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BBVA Banco Frances appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BBVA Banco Frances has accumulated about 175.55 B in cash with (153.82 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 859.56, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in BBVA Stock
When determining whether BBVA Banco Frances is a strong investment it is important to analyze BBVA Banco's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BBVA Banco's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding BBVA Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out BBVA Banco Backtesting, BBVA Banco Valuation, BBVA Banco Correlation, BBVA Banco Hype Analysis, BBVA Banco Volatility, BBVA Banco History as well as BBVA Banco Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.