Bosch Fren (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 696.13
| BFREN Stock | TRY 689.50 7.00 1.03% |
Bosch |
Bosch Fren Target Price Odds to finish below 696.13
The tendency of Bosch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 696.13 after 90 days |
| 689.50 | 90 days | 696.13 | about 26.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bosch Fren to stay under 696.13 after 90 days from now is about 26.29 (This Bosch Fren Sistemleri probability density function shows the probability of Bosch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bosch Fren Sistemleri price to stay between its current price of 689.50 and 696.13 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bosch Fren Sistemleri has a beta of -0.27 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bosch Fren are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bosch Fren Sistemleri is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bosch Fren Sistemleri has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bosch Fren Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bosch Fren
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bosch Fren Sistemleri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bosch Fren Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bosch Fren is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bosch Fren's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bosch Fren Sistemleri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bosch Fren within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 49.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bosch Fren Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bosch Fren for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bosch Fren Sistemleri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bosch Fren generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bosch Fren Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bosch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bosch Fren's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bosch Fren's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M |
Bosch Fren Technical Analysis
Bosch Fren's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bosch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bosch Fren Sistemleri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bosch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bosch Fren Predictive Forecast Models
Bosch Fren's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bosch Fren's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bosch Fren's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bosch Fren Sistemleri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bosch Fren for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bosch Fren Sistemleri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bosch Fren generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bosch Stock
Bosch Fren financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bosch Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bosch with respect to the benefits of owning Bosch Fren security.