BGC Partners Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.71
| BGCPDelisted Stock | USD 4.43 0.00 0.00% |
BGC |
BGC Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 4.71
The tendency of BGC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 4.71 after 90 days |
| 4.43 | 90 days | 4.71 | about 80.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BGC Partners to stay under $ 4.71 after 90 days from now is about 80.29 (This BGC Partners probability density function shows the probability of BGC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BGC Partners price to stay between its current price of $ 4.43 and $ 4.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BGC Partners has a beta of 0.9 suggesting BGC Partners market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BGC Partners is expected to follow. Additionally BGC Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BGC Partners Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BGC Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BGC Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BGC Partners' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BGC Partners Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BGC Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BGC Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BGC Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BGC Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
BGC Partners Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BGC Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BGC Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BGC Partners is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| BGC Partners has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
BGC Partners Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BGC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BGC Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BGC Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 499.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 485 M |
BGC Partners Technical Analysis
BGC Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BGC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BGC Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing BGC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BGC Partners Predictive Forecast Models
BGC Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many BGC Partners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BGC Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BGC Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about BGC Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BGC Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BGC Partners is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| BGC Partners has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Other Consideration for investing in BGC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in BGC Partners check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the BGC Partners' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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