Boussard Gavaudan (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.88
| BGHL Stock | 27.70 0.00 0.00% |
Boussard |
Boussard Gavaudan Target Price Odds to finish over 27.88
The tendency of Boussard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 27.88 or more in 90 days |
| 27.70 | 90 days | 27.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boussard Gavaudan to move over 27.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Boussard Gavaudan Holding probability density function shows the probability of Boussard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boussard Gavaudan Holding price to stay between its current price of 27.70 and 27.88 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Boussard Gavaudan Holding has a beta of -0.0499 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Boussard Gavaudan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Boussard Gavaudan Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Boussard Gavaudan Holding has an alpha of 0.0291, implying that it can generate a 0.0291 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Boussard Gavaudan Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Boussard Gavaudan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boussard Gavaudan Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Boussard Gavaudan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boussard Gavaudan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boussard Gavaudan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boussard Gavaudan Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boussard Gavaudan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.48 |
Boussard Gavaudan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boussard Gavaudan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boussard Gavaudan Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Boussard Gavaudan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Boussard Gavaudan has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.51 M. | |
| Boussard Gavaudan generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Boussard Gavaudan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boussard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boussard Gavaudan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boussard Gavaudan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 344 M |
Boussard Gavaudan Technical Analysis
Boussard Gavaudan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boussard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boussard Gavaudan Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boussard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Boussard Gavaudan Predictive Forecast Models
Boussard Gavaudan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boussard Gavaudan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boussard Gavaudan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Boussard Gavaudan Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Boussard Gavaudan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boussard Gavaudan Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Boussard Gavaudan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Boussard Gavaudan has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.51 M. | |
| Boussard Gavaudan generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Boussard Stock Analysis
When running Boussard Gavaudan's price analysis, check to measure Boussard Gavaudan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boussard Gavaudan is operating at the current time. Most of Boussard Gavaudan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boussard Gavaudan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boussard Gavaudan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boussard Gavaudan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.