The International Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.97

BGIKX Fund  USD 13.94  0.08  0.58%   
International Equity's future price is the expected price of International Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The International Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out International Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, International Equity Correlation, International Equity Hype Analysis, International Equity Volatility, International Equity History as well as International Equity Performance.
  
Please specify International Equity's target price for which you would like International Equity odds to be computed.

International Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 13.97

The tendency of International Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 13.97  after 90 days
 13.94 90 days 13.97 
about 60.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Equity to stay under $ 13.97  after 90 days from now is about 60.03 (This The International Equity probability density function shows the probability of International Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of The International Equity price to stay between its current price of $ 13.94  and $ 13.97  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon International Equity has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, International Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The International Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The International Equity has an alpha of 0.0012, implying that it can generate a 0.001189 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   International Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for International Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The International Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0313.9414.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0413.9514.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3414.2515.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2713.7014.13
Details

International Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The International Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

International Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for The International Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
The International Equity holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

International Equity Technical Analysis

International Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The International Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

International Equity Predictive Forecast Models

International Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many International Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about The International Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about International Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for The International Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
The International Equity holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in International Mutual Fund

International Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Equity security.
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