BH Macro (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

BHMU Stock   3.98  0.01  0.25%   
BH Macro's future price is the expected price of BH Macro instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BH Macro Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BH Macro Backtesting, BH Macro Valuation, BH Macro Correlation, BH Macro Hype Analysis, BH Macro Volatility, BH Macro History as well as BH Macro Performance.
  
Please specify BH Macro's target price for which you would like BH Macro odds to be computed.

BH Macro Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of BHMU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days
 3.98 90 days 0.01 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BH Macro to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This BH Macro Limited probability density function shows the probability of BHMU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BH Macro Limited price to stay between  0.01  and its current price of 3.98 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BH Macro Limited has a beta of -0.45 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BH Macro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BH Macro Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BH Macro Limited has an alpha of 0.0793, implying that it can generate a 0.0793 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BH Macro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BH Macro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BH Macro Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.653.975.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.603.925.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.643.965.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.963.973.98
Details

BH Macro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BH Macro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BH Macro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BH Macro Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BH Macro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

BH Macro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BH Macro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BH Macro Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BH Macro Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
BH Macro generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: BH Macro Limited Releases Investor Transparency Report - TipRanks

BH Macro Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BHMU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BH Macro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BH Macro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding353.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.7 M

BH Macro Technical Analysis

BH Macro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BHMU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BH Macro Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing BHMU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BH Macro Predictive Forecast Models

BH Macro's time-series forecasting models is one of many BH Macro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BH Macro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BH Macro Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about BH Macro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BH Macro Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BH Macro Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
BH Macro generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: BH Macro Limited Releases Investor Transparency Report - TipRanks

Additional Tools for BHMU Stock Analysis

When running BH Macro's price analysis, check to measure BH Macro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BH Macro is operating at the current time. Most of BH Macro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BH Macro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BH Macro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BH Macro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.