Hanoi Beer (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38386.0

BHN Stock   38,500  300.00  0.77%   
Hanoi Beer's future price is the expected price of Hanoi Beer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hanoi Beer Alcohol performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hanoi Beer Backtesting, Hanoi Beer Valuation, Hanoi Beer Correlation, Hanoi Beer Hype Analysis, Hanoi Beer Volatility, Hanoi Beer History as well as Hanoi Beer Performance.
  
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Hanoi Beer Target Price Odds to finish below 38386.0

The tendency of Hanoi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  38,386  or more in 90 days
 38,500 90 days 38,386 
about 44.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanoi Beer to drop to  38,386  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.89 (This Hanoi Beer Alcohol probability density function shows the probability of Hanoi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hanoi Beer Alcohol price to stay between  38,386  and its current price of 38500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hanoi Beer Alcohol has a beta of -0.0154 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hanoi Beer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hanoi Beer Alcohol is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hanoi Beer Alcohol has an alpha of 0.0185, implying that it can generate a 0.0185 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hanoi Beer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanoi Beer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanoi Beer Alcohol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38,49938,50038,501
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33,36333,36442,350
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38,38538,38638,387
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38,06238,66539,268
Details

Hanoi Beer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanoi Beer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanoi Beer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanoi Beer Alcohol, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanoi Beer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
666.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Hanoi Beer Technical Analysis

Hanoi Beer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanoi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanoi Beer Alcohol. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanoi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hanoi Beer Predictive Forecast Models

Hanoi Beer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanoi Beer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanoi Beer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hanoi Beer in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hanoi Beer's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hanoi Beer options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Hanoi Stock

Hanoi Beer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanoi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanoi with respect to the benefits of owning Hanoi Beer security.