Braemar Hotels Resorts Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 14.37

BHR-PB Preferred Stock  USD 14.36  0.45  3.04%   
Braemar Hotels' future price is the expected price of Braemar Hotels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Braemar Hotels Resorts performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Braemar Hotels Backtesting, Braemar Hotels Valuation, Braemar Hotels Correlation, Braemar Hotels Hype Analysis, Braemar Hotels Volatility, Braemar Hotels History as well as Braemar Hotels Performance.
  
Please specify Braemar Hotels' target price for which you would like Braemar Hotels odds to be computed.

Braemar Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 14.37

The tendency of Braemar Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.37  or more in 90 days
 14.36 90 days 14.37 
about 45.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Braemar Hotels to move over $ 14.37  or more in 90 days from now is about 45.39 (This Braemar Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Braemar Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Braemar Hotels Resorts price to stay between its current price of $ 14.36  and $ 14.37  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Braemar Hotels has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Braemar Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Braemar Hotels Resorts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Braemar Hotels Resorts has an alpha of 0.1774, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Braemar Hotels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Braemar Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Braemar Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9014.8116.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5212.4316.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.1415.0616.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.1514.7915.43
Details

Braemar Hotels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Braemar Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Braemar Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Braemar Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Braemar Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Braemar Hotels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Braemar Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Braemar Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 427.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 109.27 M.

Braemar Hotels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Braemar Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Braemar Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braemar Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B

Braemar Hotels Technical Analysis

Braemar Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Braemar Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Braemar Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Braemar Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Braemar Hotels Predictive Forecast Models

Braemar Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Braemar Hotels' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Braemar Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Braemar Hotels Resorts

Checking the ongoing alerts about Braemar Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Braemar Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 427.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 109.27 M.

Other Information on Investing in Braemar Preferred Stock

Braemar Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Braemar Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Braemar with respect to the benefits of owning Braemar Hotels security.