BICE11 (Brazil) Chance of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 846.18
| BICE11 Fund | 990.00 89.00 9.88% |
BICE11 |
BICE11 Target Price Odds to finish over 846.18
The tendency of BICE11 Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 846.18 in 90 days |
| 990.00 | 90 days | 846.18 | about 86.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BICE11 to stay above 846.18 in 90 days from now is about 86.68 (This BICE11 probability density function shows the probability of BICE11 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BICE11 price to stay between 846.18 and its current price of 990.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BICE11 has a beta of -0.62 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BICE11 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BICE11 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BICE11 has an alpha of 0.0888, implying that it can generate a 0.0888 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BICE11 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BICE11
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BICE11. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BICE11 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BICE11 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BICE11's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BICE11, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BICE11 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 60.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
BICE11 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BICE11 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BICE11 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BICE11 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
BICE11 Technical Analysis
BICE11's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BICE11 Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BICE11. In general, you should focus on analyzing BICE11 Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BICE11 Predictive Forecast Models
BICE11's time-series forecasting models is one of many BICE11's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BICE11's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BICE11
Checking the ongoing alerts about BICE11 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BICE11 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BICE11 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
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