Bid (South Africa) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45048.0

BID Stock   44,121  211.00  0.48%   
Bid's future price is the expected price of Bid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bid Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bid Backtesting, Bid Valuation, Bid Correlation, Bid Hype Analysis, Bid Volatility, Bid History as well as Bid Performance.
  
Please specify Bid's target price for which you would like Bid odds to be computed.

Bid Target Price Odds to finish below 45048.0

The tendency of Bid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  45,048  after 90 days
 44,121 90 days 45,048 
about 82.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bid to stay under  45,048  after 90 days from now is about 82.64 (This Bid Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Bid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bid Corporation price to stay between its current price of  44,121  and  45,048  at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bid has a beta of 0.1 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bid Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bid Corporation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bid Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44,33144,33244,333
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44,06444,06648,765
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43,07843,07943,081
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44,09444,63145,169
Details

Bid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bid Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
886.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Bid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bid Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bid Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Bid Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding334.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.4 B

Bid Technical Analysis

Bid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bid Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bid Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bid Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bid Predictive Forecast Models

Bid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bid's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bid Corporation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bid Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bid Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Bid Stock

Bid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bid Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bid with respect to the benefits of owning Bid security.