Budapesti Ingatlan (Hungary) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 504.5

BIF Stock   504.00  2.00  0.40%   
Budapesti Ingatlan's future price is the expected price of Budapesti Ingatlan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Budapesti Ingatlan Hasznositasi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Budapesti Ingatlan Backtesting, Budapesti Ingatlan Valuation, Budapesti Ingatlan Correlation, Budapesti Ingatlan Hype Analysis, Budapesti Ingatlan Volatility, Budapesti Ingatlan History as well as Budapesti Ingatlan Performance.
  
Please specify Budapesti Ingatlan's target price for which you would like Budapesti Ingatlan odds to be computed.

Budapesti Ingatlan Target Price Odds to finish below 504.5

The tendency of Budapesti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  504.50  after 90 days
 504.00 90 days 504.50 
about 71.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Budapesti Ingatlan to stay under  504.50  after 90 days from now is about 71.01 (This Budapesti Ingatlan Hasznositasi probability density function shows the probability of Budapesti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Budapesti Ingatlan price to stay between its current price of  504.00  and  504.50  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Budapesti Ingatlan Hasznositasi has a beta of -0.12 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Budapesti Ingatlan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Budapesti Ingatlan Hasznositasi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Budapesti Ingatlan Hasznositasi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Budapesti Ingatlan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Budapesti Ingatlan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Budapesti Ingatlan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
502.00504.00506.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
408.55410.55554.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
505.39507.39509.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
496.70506.33515.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Budapesti Ingatlan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Budapesti Ingatlan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Budapesti Ingatlan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Budapesti Ingatlan.

Budapesti Ingatlan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Budapesti Ingatlan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Budapesti Ingatlan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Budapesti Ingatlan Hasznositasi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Budapesti Ingatlan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
27.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Budapesti Ingatlan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Budapesti Ingatlan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Budapesti Ingatlan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Budapesti Ingatlan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Budapesti Ingatlan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Budapesti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Budapesti Ingatlan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Budapesti Ingatlan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding251.7 M

Budapesti Ingatlan Technical Analysis

Budapesti Ingatlan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Budapesti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Budapesti Ingatlan Hasznositasi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Budapesti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Budapesti Ingatlan Predictive Forecast Models

Budapesti Ingatlan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Budapesti Ingatlan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Budapesti Ingatlan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Budapesti Ingatlan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Budapesti Ingatlan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Budapesti Ingatlan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Budapesti Ingatlan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Budapesti Stock

Budapesti Ingatlan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Budapesti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Budapesti with respect to the benefits of owning Budapesti Ingatlan security.