BigBen Interactive (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.56
| BIG Stock | EUR 1.46 0.02 1.35% |
BigBen |
BigBen Interactive Target Price Odds to finish below 1.56
The tendency of BigBen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 1.56 after 90 days |
| 1.46 | 90 days | 1.56 | about 1.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BigBen Interactive to stay under € 1.56 after 90 days from now is about 1.26 (This BigBen Interactive probability density function shows the probability of BigBen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BigBen Interactive price to stay between its current price of € 1.46 and € 1.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BigBen Interactive has a beta of -0.2 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BigBen Interactive are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BigBen Interactive is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BigBen Interactive has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BigBen Interactive Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BigBen Interactive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BigBen Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BigBen Interactive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BigBen Interactive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BigBen Interactive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BigBen Interactive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BigBen Interactive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.36 |
BigBen Interactive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BigBen Interactive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BigBen Interactive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BigBen Interactive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BigBen Interactive may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BigBen Interactive Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BigBen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BigBen Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BigBen Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126.4 M |
BigBen Interactive Technical Analysis
BigBen Interactive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BigBen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BigBen Interactive. In general, you should focus on analyzing BigBen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BigBen Interactive Predictive Forecast Models
BigBen Interactive's time-series forecasting models is one of many BigBen Interactive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BigBen Interactive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BigBen Interactive
Checking the ongoing alerts about BigBen Interactive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BigBen Interactive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BigBen Interactive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BigBen Interactive may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BigBen Stock
BigBen Interactive financial ratios help investors to determine whether BigBen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BigBen with respect to the benefits of owning BigBen Interactive security.