Big Lots Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.45
| BIGDelisted Stock | USD 0.10 0.02 16.67% |
Big |
Big Lots Target Price Odds to finish below 1.45
The tendency of Big Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.45 after 90 days |
| 0.10 | 90 days | 1.45 | about 81.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Big Lots to stay under $ 1.45 after 90 days from now is about 81.07 (This Big Lots probability density function shows the probability of Big Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Big Lots price to stay between its current price of $ 0.10 and $ 1.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.23 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Big Lots has a beta of 0.63 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Big Lots average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Big Lots will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Big Lots has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Big Lots Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Big Lots
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Big Lots. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Big Lots Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Big Lots is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Big Lots' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Big Lots, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Big Lots within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.79 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Big Lots Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Big Lots for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Big Lots can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Big Lots is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Big Lots generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Big Lots has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Big Lots has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Big Lots has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.72 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (481.88 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.91 B. | |
| Big Lots has about 44.73 M in cash with (251.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.7, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Big Lots Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Big Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Big Lots' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Big Lots' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.4 M |
Big Lots Technical Analysis
Big Lots' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Big Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Big Lots. In general, you should focus on analyzing Big Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Big Lots Predictive Forecast Models
Big Lots' time-series forecasting models is one of many Big Lots' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Big Lots' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Big Lots
Checking the ongoing alerts about Big Lots for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Big Lots help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Big Lots is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Big Lots generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Big Lots has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Big Lots has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Big Lots has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.72 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (481.88 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.91 B. | |
| Big Lots has about 44.73 M in cash with (251.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.7, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Other Consideration for investing in Big Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Big Lots check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Big Lots' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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