Blackrock Government Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.12

BIGLX Fund  USD 9.15  0.03  0.33%   
Blackrock's future price is the expected price of Blackrock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock Government Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock Correlation, Blackrock Hype Analysis, Blackrock Volatility, Blackrock History as well as Blackrock Performance.
For more information on how to buy Blackrock Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Blackrock guide.
  
Please specify Blackrock's target price for which you would like Blackrock odds to be computed.

Blackrock Target Price Odds to finish below 9.12

The tendency of Blackrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.12  or more in 90 days
 9.15 90 days 9.12 
about 28.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock to drop to $ 9.12  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.88 (This Blackrock Government Bond probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock Government Bond price to stay between $ 9.12  and its current price of $9.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock Government Bond has a beta of -0.0542 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blackrock are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blackrock Government Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blackrock Government Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blackrock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Government Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.809.129.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.508.829.14
Details

Blackrock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock Government Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.45

Blackrock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock Government Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackrock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blackrock Government Bond generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Blackrock Technical Analysis

Blackrock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock Government Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock Government Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Government Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackrock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blackrock Government Bond generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock security.
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance