Bank Ina (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3314.93

BINA Stock  IDR 4,140  40.00  0.98%   
Bank Ina's future price is the expected price of Bank Ina instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank Ina Perdana performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank Ina Backtesting, Bank Ina Valuation, Bank Ina Correlation, Bank Ina Hype Analysis, Bank Ina Volatility, Bank Ina History as well as Bank Ina Performance.
  
Please specify Bank Ina's target price for which you would like Bank Ina odds to be computed.

Bank Ina Target Price Odds to finish below 3314.93

The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3,315  or more in 90 days
 4,140 90 days 3,315 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Ina to drop to  3,315  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bank Ina Perdana probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Ina Perdana price to stay between  3,315  and its current price of 4140.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Ina has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank Ina average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank Ina Perdana will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank Ina Perdana has an alpha of 0.0288, implying that it can generate a 0.0288 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bank Ina Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank Ina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Ina Perdana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,1394,1404,141
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0324,0334,554
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,1514,1524,153
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0694,0984,127
Details

Bank Ina Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Ina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Ina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Ina Perdana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Ina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
42.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Bank Ina Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Ina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Ina Perdana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Ina Perdana has accumulated about 5.88 T in cash with (1.97 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 990.87.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bank Ina Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Ina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Ina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 B

Bank Ina Technical Analysis

Bank Ina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Ina Perdana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank Ina Predictive Forecast Models

Bank Ina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Ina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Ina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank Ina Perdana

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Ina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Ina Perdana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Ina Perdana has accumulated about 5.88 T in cash with (1.97 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 990.87.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock

Bank Ina financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Ina security.