Bank Islami (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.99
| BIPL Stock | 22.30 0.36 1.64% |
Bank |
Bank Islami Target Price Odds to finish below 19.99
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 19.99 or more in 90 days |
| 22.30 | 90 days | 19.99 | roughly 2.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Islami to drop to 19.99 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.7 (This Bank Islami Pakistan probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Islami Pakistan price to stay between 19.99 and its current price of 22.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Islami has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank Islami average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank Islami Pakistan will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank Islami Pakistan has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bank Islami Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Islami
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Islami Pakistan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Islami Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Islami is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Islami's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Islami Pakistan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Islami within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Bank Islami Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Islami's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Islami's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Bank Islami Technical Analysis
Bank Islami's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Islami Pakistan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Islami Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Islami's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Islami's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Islami's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bank Islami in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bank Islami's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bank Islami options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Islami financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Islami security.