Bitterroot Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0196

BITTF Stock  USD 0.03  0.01  21.05%   
Bitterroot Resources' future price is the expected price of Bitterroot Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bitterroot Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bitterroot Resources Backtesting, Bitterroot Resources Valuation, Bitterroot Resources Correlation, Bitterroot Resources Hype Analysis, Bitterroot Resources Volatility, Bitterroot Resources History as well as Bitterroot Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Bitterroot Resources' target price for which you would like Bitterroot Resources odds to be computed.

Bitterroot Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0196

The tendency of Bitterroot Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.02 
about 28.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bitterroot Resources to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.68 (This Bitterroot Resources probability density function shows the probability of Bitterroot Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bitterroot Resources price to stay between $ 0.02  and its current price of $0.0315 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bitterroot Resources has a beta of -2.09 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Bitterroot Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Bitterroot Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Bitterroot Resources has an alpha of 2.0985, implying that it can generate a 2.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bitterroot Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bitterroot Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitterroot Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitterroot Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0317.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0217.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00060.0317.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.03
Details

Bitterroot Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bitterroot Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bitterroot Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bitterroot Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bitterroot Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Bitterroot Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bitterroot Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bitterroot Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitterroot Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bitterroot Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bitterroot Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (883.92 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.17 K).
Bitterroot Resources has accumulated about 691.03 K in cash with (470.11 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bitterroot Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bitterroot Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bitterroot Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bitterroot Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.1 M

Bitterroot Resources Technical Analysis

Bitterroot Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bitterroot Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bitterroot Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bitterroot Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bitterroot Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Bitterroot Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bitterroot Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bitterroot Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bitterroot Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bitterroot Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bitterroot Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitterroot Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bitterroot Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bitterroot Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (883.92 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.17 K).
Bitterroot Resources has accumulated about 691.03 K in cash with (470.11 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bitterroot Pink Sheet

Bitterroot Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bitterroot Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bitterroot with respect to the benefits of owning Bitterroot Resources security.