Berli Jucker (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.11
| BJC Stock | THB 23.60 0.50 2.16% |
Berli |
Berli Jucker Target Price Odds to finish below 19.11
The tendency of Berli Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 19.11 or more in 90 days |
| 23.60 | 90 days | 19.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berli Jucker to drop to 19.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Berli Jucker Public probability density function shows the probability of Berli Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Berli Jucker Public price to stay between 19.11 and its current price of 23.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Berli Jucker Public has a beta of -0.0556 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Berli Jucker are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Berli Jucker Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Berli Jucker Public has an alpha of 0.0672, implying that it can generate a 0.0672 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Berli Jucker Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Berli Jucker
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berli Jucker Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Berli Jucker Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berli Jucker is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berli Jucker's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Berli Jucker Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berli Jucker within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Berli Jucker Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berli Jucker for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berli Jucker Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Berli Jucker Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Berli Jucker Public has accumulated 128.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 137.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Berli Jucker Public has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Berli Jucker until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Berli Jucker's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Berli Jucker Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Berli to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Berli Jucker's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 78.0% of Berli Jucker shares are held by company insiders |
Berli Jucker Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Berli Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Berli Jucker's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berli Jucker's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 B |
Berli Jucker Technical Analysis
Berli Jucker's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berli Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Berli Jucker Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berli Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Berli Jucker Predictive Forecast Models
Berli Jucker's time-series forecasting models is one of many Berli Jucker's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berli Jucker's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Berli Jucker Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Berli Jucker for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berli Jucker Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Berli Jucker Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Berli Jucker Public has accumulated 128.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 137.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Berli Jucker Public has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Berli Jucker until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Berli Jucker's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Berli Jucker Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Berli to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Berli Jucker's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 78.0% of Berli Jucker shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Berli Stock
Berli Jucker financial ratios help investors to determine whether Berli Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Berli with respect to the benefits of owning Berli Jucker security.