BJC Heavy (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.24
| BJCHI Stock | THB 1.20 0.01 0.84% |
BJC |
BJC Heavy Target Price Odds to finish below 1.24
The tendency of BJC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.24 after 90 days |
| 1.20 | 90 days | 1.24 | about 27.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BJC Heavy to stay under 1.24 after 90 days from now is about 27.33 (This BJC Heavy Industries probability density function shows the probability of BJC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BJC Heavy Industries price to stay between its current price of 1.20 and 1.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BJC Heavy has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BJC Heavy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BJC Heavy Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BJC Heavy Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BJC Heavy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BJC Heavy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BJC Heavy Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BJC Heavy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BJC Heavy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BJC Heavy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BJC Heavy Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BJC Heavy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.39 |
BJC Heavy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BJC Heavy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BJC Heavy Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BJC Heavy Industries is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BJC Heavy Industries may become a speculative penny stock | |
| BJC Heavy Industries appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BJC Heavy Technical Analysis
BJC Heavy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BJC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BJC Heavy Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing BJC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BJC Heavy Predictive Forecast Models
BJC Heavy's time-series forecasting models is one of many BJC Heavy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BJC Heavy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BJC Heavy Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about BJC Heavy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BJC Heavy Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BJC Heavy Industries is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BJC Heavy Industries may become a speculative penny stock | |
| BJC Heavy Industries appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BJC Stock
BJC Heavy financial ratios help investors to determine whether BJC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BJC with respect to the benefits of owning BJC Heavy security.