BlackRock Kelso Capital Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.3

BKCCDelisted Stock  USD 3.59  0.10  2.87%   
BlackRock Kelso's future price is the expected price of BlackRock Kelso instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BlackRock Kelso Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  
Please specify BlackRock Kelso's target price for which you would like BlackRock Kelso odds to be computed.

BlackRock Kelso Target Price Odds to finish below 3.3

The tendency of BlackRock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.30  or more in 90 days
 3.59 90 days 3.30 
about 70.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BlackRock Kelso to drop to $ 3.30  or more in 90 days from now is about 70.08 (This BlackRock Kelso Capital probability density function shows the probability of BlackRock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BlackRock Kelso Capital price to stay between $ 3.30  and its current price of $3.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BlackRock Kelso has a beta of 0.43 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BlackRock Kelso average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BlackRock Kelso Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BlackRock Kelso Capital has an alpha of 0.0578, implying that it can generate a 0.0578 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BlackRock Kelso Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BlackRock Kelso

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock Kelso Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BlackRock Kelso's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.593.593.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.922.923.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.573.573.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.083.323.56
Details

BlackRock Kelso Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BlackRock Kelso is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BlackRock Kelso's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BlackRock Kelso Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BlackRock Kelso within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.0093

BlackRock Kelso Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BlackRock Kelso for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BlackRock Kelso Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BlackRock Kelso is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
BlackRock Kelso has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

BlackRock Kelso Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BlackRock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BlackRock Kelso's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackRock Kelso's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.4 M

BlackRock Kelso Technical Analysis

BlackRock Kelso's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BlackRock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BlackRock Kelso Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing BlackRock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BlackRock Kelso Predictive Forecast Models

BlackRock Kelso's time-series forecasting models is one of many BlackRock Kelso's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BlackRock Kelso's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BlackRock Kelso Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about BlackRock Kelso for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BlackRock Kelso Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BlackRock Kelso is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
BlackRock Kelso has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Other Consideration for investing in BlackRock Stock

If you are still planning to invest in BlackRock Kelso Capital check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the BlackRock Kelso's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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