Brookdale Senior Living Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 81.94
| BKDT Stock | 74.01 0.00 0.00% |
Brookdale |
Brookdale Senior Target Price Odds to finish over 81.94
The tendency of Brookdale Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 81.94 or more in 90 days |
| 74.01 | 90 days | 81.94 | about 66.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brookdale Senior to move over 81.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 66.62 (This Brookdale Senior Living probability density function shows the probability of Brookdale Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brookdale Senior Living price to stay between its current price of 74.01 and 81.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Brookdale Senior has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brookdale Senior average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brookdale Senior Living will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brookdale Senior Living has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Brookdale Senior Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Brookdale Senior
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookdale Senior Living. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookdale Senior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brookdale Senior Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brookdale Senior is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brookdale Senior's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brookdale Senior Living, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brookdale Senior within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Brookdale Senior Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brookdale Senior for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brookdale Senior Living can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brookdale Senior generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (189.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 685 M. | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Brookdale Senior paid 0.875 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Victory Capital Management Inc. Raises Stock Position in Brookdale Senior Living Inc. - MarketBeat |
Brookdale Senior Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brookdale Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brookdale Senior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookdale Senior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 307.7 M |
Brookdale Senior Technical Analysis
Brookdale Senior's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brookdale Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brookdale Senior Living. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brookdale Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brookdale Senior Predictive Forecast Models
Brookdale Senior's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brookdale Senior's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brookdale Senior's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brookdale Senior Living
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brookdale Senior for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brookdale Senior Living help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brookdale Senior generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (189.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 685 M. | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Brookdale Senior paid 0.875 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Victory Capital Management Inc. Raises Stock Position in Brookdale Senior Living Inc. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Brookdale Stock Analysis
When running Brookdale Senior's price analysis, check to measure Brookdale Senior's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookdale Senior is operating at the current time. Most of Brookdale Senior's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookdale Senior's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookdale Senior's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookdale Senior to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.