The Berkeley Group Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 67.25

BKGFFDelisted Stock  USD 61.14  0.00  0.00%   
Berkeley's future price is the expected price of Berkeley instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Berkeley Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
  
Please specify Berkeley's target price for which you would like Berkeley odds to be computed.

Berkeley Target Price Odds to finish over 67.25

The tendency of Berkeley Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 67.25  or more in 90 days
 61.14 90 days 67.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berkeley to move over $ 67.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Berkeley Group probability density function shows the probability of Berkeley Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Berkeley Group price to stay between its current price of $ 61.14  and $ 67.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Berkeley has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Berkeley average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Berkeley Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Berkeley Group has an alpha of 0.0419, implying that it can generate a 0.0419 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Berkeley Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Berkeley

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berkeley Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.1461.1461.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.9150.9167.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.9061.9061.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.1461.1461.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Berkeley. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Berkeley's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Berkeley's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Berkeley Group.

Berkeley Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berkeley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berkeley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Berkeley Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berkeley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Berkeley Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berkeley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berkeley Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Berkeley Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Berkeley Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The Berkeley Group has accumulated about 928.9 M in cash with (129.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.35.
Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Berkeley Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Berkeley Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Berkeley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berkeley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.3 M
Dividends Paid451.5 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.24

Berkeley Technical Analysis

Berkeley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berkeley Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Berkeley Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berkeley Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Berkeley Predictive Forecast Models

Berkeley's time-series forecasting models is one of many Berkeley's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berkeley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Berkeley Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Berkeley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berkeley Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Berkeley Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Berkeley Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The Berkeley Group has accumulated about 928.9 M in cash with (129.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.35.
Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Other Consideration for investing in Berkeley Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Berkeley Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Berkeley's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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