Blackrock 6040 Target Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.48

BKGPX Fund  USD 16.54  0.04  0.24%   
Blackrock 6040's future price is the expected price of Blackrock 6040 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock 6040 Target performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock 6040 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock 6040 Correlation, Blackrock 6040 Hype Analysis, Blackrock 6040 Volatility, Blackrock 6040 History as well as Blackrock 6040 Performance.
  
Please specify Blackrock 6040's target price for which you would like Blackrock 6040 odds to be computed.

Blackrock 6040 Target Price Odds to finish below 16.48

The tendency of Blackrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 16.48  or more in 90 days
 16.54 90 days 16.48 
about 63.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock 6040 to drop to $ 16.48  or more in 90 days from now is about 63.63 (This Blackrock 6040 Target probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock 6040 Target price to stay between $ 16.48  and its current price of $16.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock 6040 has a beta of 0.3 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blackrock 6040 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blackrock 6040 Target will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blackrock 6040 Target has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blackrock 6040 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock 6040

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock 6040 Target. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0916.5416.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0316.4816.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9516.4016.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.2816.4916.69
Details

Blackrock 6040 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock 6040 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock 6040's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock 6040 Target, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock 6040 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Blackrock 6040 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock 6040 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock 6040 Target can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 7.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Blackrock 6040 Technical Analysis

Blackrock 6040's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock 6040 Target. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock 6040 Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock 6040's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock 6040's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock 6040's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock 6040 Target

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock 6040 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock 6040 Target help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 7.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock 6040 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock 6040 security.
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