Bangkok Bank (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.04

BKKF Stock  EUR 4.00  0.06  1.48%   
Bangkok Bank's future price is the expected price of Bangkok Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bangkok Bank Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bangkok Bank Backtesting, Bangkok Bank Valuation, Bangkok Bank Correlation, Bangkok Bank Hype Analysis, Bangkok Bank Volatility, Bangkok Bank History as well as Bangkok Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Bangkok Bank's target price for which you would like Bangkok Bank odds to be computed.

Bangkok Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 1.04

The tendency of Bangkok Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 1.04  in 90 days
 4.00 90 days 1.04 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bangkok Bank to stay above € 1.04  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bangkok Bank Public probability density function shows the probability of Bangkok Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bangkok Bank Public price to stay between € 1.04  and its current price of €4.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bangkok Bank has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bangkok Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bangkok Bank Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bangkok Bank Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bangkok Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bangkok Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bangkok Bank Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.124.006.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.513.396.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.113.996.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.964.024.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bangkok Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bangkok Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bangkok Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bangkok Bank Public.

Bangkok Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bangkok Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bangkok Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bangkok Bank Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bangkok Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Bangkok Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bangkok Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bangkok Bank Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bangkok Bank Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bangkok Bank Public has accumulated about 3.08 B in cash with (345.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.61.

Bangkok Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bangkok Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bangkok Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bangkok Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B

Bangkok Bank Technical Analysis

Bangkok Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bangkok Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bangkok Bank Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bangkok Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bangkok Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Bangkok Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bangkok Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bangkok Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bangkok Bank Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bangkok Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bangkok Bank Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bangkok Bank Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bangkok Bank Public has accumulated about 3.08 B in cash with (345.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.61.

Other Information on Investing in Bangkok Stock

Bangkok Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bangkok Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bangkok with respect to the benefits of owning Bangkok Bank security.